Resolved
✗ NO
4 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-22T00:15:28.400Z]
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=50
Will any Dice bet hit 5,000x or higher on May 21 UTC?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 56% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=1, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-21T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope multiplier >= 5000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-21T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Top Dice multiplier on duel.com during May 21 UTC, sourced from their public transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-24h top by multiplier, filters by game="Dice" (case-insensitive) and by txn_date in the pinned market window, then checks whether the highest in-scope multiplier crosses 5,000x.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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