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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

3 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-17T00:15:30.836Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 7bcbedf0bc65…c4d775

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 52% confidence

VOL $I 107.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-16T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-16T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 16 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
58%40$I 21.3
55%28$I 14.4
53%20$I 10.1
51%12$I 5.9
49%4$I 1.9
MID48%SPREAD 2ppYES
47%4$I 2.1
45%12$I 6.5
43%20$I 11
41%28$I 15.8
38%41$I 23.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • arspopo👑49%41@49%
  • stakeloser👑50%26@50%
  • trainwreck👑52%20@47%
  • eddy_scout👑50%17@48%

NO holders4

  • eddy_scout👑50%60@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%40@53%
  • arspopo👑49%9@47%
  • trainwreck👑52%3@51%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.3
arspopo bought NO$I 4.2
stakeloser bought YES$I 1
arspopo bought YES$I 6.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.4
arspopo bought YES$I 4.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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