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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

3 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-18T00:15:30.710Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 3f474b7567ea…2d98c1

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 92.3·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-17T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-17T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 17 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.4
53%28$I 13.8
51%20$I 9.7
49%12$I 5.7
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.8
41%20$I 11.6
39%29$I 16.6
36%42$I 24.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%29@47%
  • eddy_scout👑50%24@53%
  • arspopo👑49%23@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%7@51%

NO holders5

  • trainwreck👑52%42@49%
  • eddy_scout👑50%19@52%
  • topocman👑46%19@53%
  • arspopo👑49%17@47%
  • stakeloser👑50%3@55%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.4
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.8
arspopo bought NO$I 0.5
arspopo bought NO$I 7.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.1
arspopo bought YES$I 7.7
arspopo bought YES$I 4.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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