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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

22 days ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-05T00:15:36.900Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 83293629e4f5…da9a0e

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 63% confidence

VOL $I 63.2·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-04T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-07-04T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-04T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jul 4 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
47%41$I 17.4
44%29$I 11.9
42%21$I 8.3
40%13$I 4.9
38%4$I 1.6
MID37%SPREAD 2ppYES
36%4$I 2.7
34%13$I 8.3
32%22$I 14.3
30%31$I 20.7
27%46$I 31

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • topocman👑49%31@36%
  • trainwreck👑50%3@51%

NO holders3

  • topocman👑49%60@61%
  • stakeloser👑49%15@56%
  • arspopo👑50%11@51%
topocman bought YES$I 4.5
topocman bought NO$I 2.3
topocman bought NO$I 5.7
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.6
topocman bought YES$I 0.5
topocman bought YES$I 6.2
topocman bought NO$I 7.1
topocman bought NO$I 5
topocman bought NO$I 7.6
topocman bought NO$I 1.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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