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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

3 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-23T00:15:46.468Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 6ece171fcb60…48911b

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 48% confidence

VOL $I 102.3·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-06-22T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-22T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-06-22T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-22T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 22 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
62%41$I 23.4
59%28$I 15.8
57%20$I 11
55%12$I 6.5
53%4$I 2.1
MID52%SPREAD 2ppYES
51%4$I 1.9
49%12$I 5.9
47%20$I 10.1
45%28$I 14.4
42%40$I 21.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders5

  • trainwreck👑52%26@54%
  • eddy_scout👑50%26@52%
  • arspopo👑49%21@50%
  • topocman👑46%17@60%
  • stakeloser👑50%16@62%

NO holders4

  • arspopo👑49%53@44%
  • trainwreck👑52%20@41%
  • eddy_scout👑50%14@50%
  • stakeloser👑50%11@51%
arspopo bought NO$I 5
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.9
arspopo bought NO$I 3.8
trainwreck bought NO$I 6.1
arspopo bought NO$I 4.3
arspopo bought NO$I 2.1
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.1
stakeloser bought YES$I 5.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.3
topocman bought YES$I 3.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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