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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-11T00:15:30.484Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 539e4c00d609…eb0be8

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 50% confidence

VOL $I 90.8·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-10T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-06-10T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-10T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 10 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%41$I 22.5
57%28$I 15.2
55%20$I 10.6
53%12$I 6.2
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.1
45%20$I 10.4
43%28$I 14.9
40%40$I 22.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%37@49%
  • eddy_scout👑49%33@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%18@52%
  • arspopo👑50%3@47%

NO holders3

  • arspopo👑50%43@48%
  • eddy_scout👑49%40@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%6@54%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3.8
arspopo bought NO$I 0.5
arspopo bought NO$I 6.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 2
arspopo bought NO$I 3.5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.7
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.2
arspopo bought NO$I 4.2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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