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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

3 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-21T00:15:30.964Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 75d3af10d2de…d89719

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 50% confidence

VOL $I 118.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-06-20T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-20T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-06-20T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-20T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 20 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%41$I 22.4
57%28$I 15.1
55%20$I 10.6
53%12$I 6.2
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.2
45%20$I 10.5
43%28$I 15.1
40%41$I 22.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • eddy_scout👑50%69@52%
  • trainwreck👑52%32@46%
  • arspopo👑49%12@49%
  • stakeloser👑50%6@51%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%45@49%
  • eddy_scout👑50%41@51%
  • arspopo👑49%19@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%13@56%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.4
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6.1
arspopo bought NO$I 2
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.5
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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