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📊 Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T00:15:26.022Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 01778d0d0dbf…2ec776

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 64.5·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Dice" and txn_date in [2026-07-19T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-19T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 5000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":5000,"game":"Dice","windowStart":"2026-07-19T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-19T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Dice multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jul 19 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 5,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.7
53%28$I 14
51%20$I 9.8
49%12$I 5.8
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.7
41%20$I 11.4
39%29$I 16.3
36%41$I 24.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%35@47%
  • eddy_scout👑50%12@51%
  • arspopo👑49%8@47%
  • stakeloser👑50%3@53%

NO holders3

  • eddy_scout👑50%45@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%16@52%
  • trainwreck👑52%11@52%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.7
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.4
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.3
arspopo bought YES$I 3.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.4
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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