Resolved
✗ NO
3 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: top Gold Party bet by ggg1 (txn 614413946 at 2026-05-11) — value 5082.6 vs threshold ≥ 12000 → NO.
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any Duel bet hit 12,000x or higher today?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 43% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
At close time the resolver fetches the top single-bet multiplier from the last 24h on duel.com's transparency API. YES if multiplier >= 12000, otherwise NO. Source query is pinned in the oracle config below. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":12000,"version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Pulls the top multiplier on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours from their public transparency API. YES if the highest multiplier closes at 12,000x or above. Duel publishes every bet with a unique txn_id on /high-scores — anyone can verify the outcome themselves by opening the source URL.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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