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📊 Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x or higher on May 16 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-17T00:15:49.967Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 7ca1d663dea5…11a26f

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x or higher on May 16 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 47.5·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=1, filters by txn_date in [2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z). YES if the highest in-window multiplier >= 13000, otherwise NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":13000,"windowStart":"2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet multiplier on duel.com during May 16 UTC, sourced from their public transparency API. The resolver pulls the rolling-24h top, filters by txn_date in the pinned market window, and checks whether the max multiplier closes at 13,000x or above. Each bet on duel has a unique txn_id — anyone can verify by opening the source URL.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 24
60%29$I 16.2
58%20$I 11.3
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.2
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.1
43%40$I 20.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • arspopo👑50%31@48%
  • eddy_scout👑49%18@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%5@45%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑50%15@52%
  • eddy_scout👑49%11@50%
  • stakeloser👑49%9@56%
  • arspopo👑50%6@55%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 4.6
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1
arspopo bought YES$I 6.5
arspopo bought YES$I 7
arspopo bought YES$I 1.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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