Resolved
✗ NO
4 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x or higher on May 20 UTC?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 42% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=1, filters by txn_date in [2026-05-20T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-20T23:55:00.000Z). YES if the highest in-window multiplier >= 13000, otherwise NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":13000,"windowStart":"2026-05-20T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-20T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Top single-bet multiplier on duel.com during May 20 UTC, sourced from their public transparency API. The resolver pulls the rolling-24h top, filters by txn_date in the pinned market window, and checks whether the max multiplier closes at 13,000x or above. Each bet on duel has a unique txn_id — anyone can verify by opening the source URL.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
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