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📊 Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: top Mines bet by jdoe (txn 659648242 at 2026-05-24) — value 12637.35 vs threshold ≥ 13000 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-05-26T00:15:45.828Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 6ab075d8e0fc…c85c6d

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 45% confidence

VOL $I 76.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=10 and txn_date in [2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-25T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 13000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":13000,"windowStart":"2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-25T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top platform-wide multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending May 25 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 13,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%42$I 25
62%29$I 16.9
60%20$I 11.7
58%12$I 6.9
56%4$I 2.2
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%4$I 1.8
52%12$I 5.6
50%20$I 9.6
48%28$I 13.7
45%40$I 20.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%55@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%31@55%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%40@50%
  • stakeloser👑49%26@45%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.6
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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