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📊 Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

3 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-05T00:16:04.809Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · ecf31e1de0b6…80c38e

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel bet hit 13,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 49% confidence

VOL $I 88.8·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=10 and txn_date in [2026-06-04T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-04T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 13000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":13000,"windowStart":"2026-06-04T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-04T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top platform-wide multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jun 4 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 13,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
61%41$I 22.8
58%28$I 15.4
56%20$I 10.8
54%12$I 6.3
52%4$I 2.1
MID51%SPREAD 2ppYES
50%4$I 2
48%12$I 6.1
46%20$I 10.3
44%28$I 14.8
41%40$I 21.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%32@54%
  • eddy_scout👑50%26@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%20@54%
  • arspopo👑49%13@50%

NO holders3

  • arspopo👑49%73@48%
  • trainwreck👑52%10@46%
  • stakeloser👑50%4@51%
arspopo bought YES$I 6.5
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.7
arspopo bought NO$I 7.7
arspopo bought NO$I 7.1
arspopo bought NO$I 1.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.4
arspopo bought NO$I 5.4
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 6.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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