Resolved
✗ NO
2 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-15T13:15:49.598Z]
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any Duel bet hit 15,000x or higher today?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 65% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
At close time the resolver fetches the top single-bet multiplier from the last 24h on duel.com's transparency API. YES if multiplier >= 15000, otherwise NO. Source query is pinned in the oracle config below. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":15000,"windowStart":"2026-05-13T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-13T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Pulls the top multiplier on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours from their public transparency API. YES if the highest multiplier closes at 15,000x or above. Duel publishes every bet with a unique txn_id on /high-scores — anyone can verify the outcome themselves by opening the source URL.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
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