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📊 Will any Duel bet hit 57,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-02T00:15:59.902Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 8adaa2e70d3d…21d157

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel bet hit 57,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 94.1·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=10 and txn_date in [2026-07-01T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-01T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 57000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":57000,"windowStart":"2026-07-01T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-01T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top platform-wide multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jul 1 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 57,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.7
60%28$I 16
58%20$I 11.1
56%12$I 6.5
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.9
48%20$I 10
46%28$I 14.3
43%40$I 21.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • stakeloser👑50%59@51%
  • eddy_scout👑50%17@52%
  • arspopo👑49%14@51%
  • trainwreck👑52%9@50%

NO holders4

  • arspopo👑49%47@49%
  • eddy_scout👑50%18@50%
  • trainwreck👑52%15@50%
  • stakeloser👑50%9@50%
arspopo bought YES$I 2.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.1
arspopo bought NO$I 7.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.9
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.2
arspopo bought NO$I 2.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 4
arspopo bought NO$I 1.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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