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📊 Will any Duel player lose $370,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jun 1 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-02T00:15:46.066Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · aa97242d6167…23c275

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel player lose $370,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jun 1 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 47% confidence

VOL $I 76.6·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7, filters by txn_date in [2026-06-01T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-01T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window profit <= -370000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"profit","sort_direction":"asc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"profit","threshold":-370000,"windowStart":"2026-06-01T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-01T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Worst single-bet loss on duel.com for the week ending Jun 1 UTC, from their public transparency feed. Profit is signed (losses negative). YES if the most negative in-window profit is -$370,000 or worse.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 24
60%29$I 16.2
58%20$I 11.3
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.2
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.1
43%40$I 20.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%26@53%
  • trainwreck👑50%22@49%
  • arspopo👑50%20@45%
  • stakeloser👑49%15@49%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%37@53%
  • arspopo👑50%17@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%15@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%2@54%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.3
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.7
arspopo bought NO$I 1.9
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.5
trainwreck bought YES$I 6.4
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.6
arspopo bought YES$I 3.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 0.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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