Resolved
✗ NO
3 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: top Blackjack bet by judeonjuice (txn 614398328 at 2026-05-11) — value -49998.99962 vs threshold ≤ -370000 → NO.
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any Duel player lose $370,000+ on a single bet today?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 50% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=1. YES if data[0].profit <= -370000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"profit","sort_direction":"asc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"profit","threshold":-370000,"version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Worst single-bet loss on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours. Sourced from their public transparency feed — profit is signed, so losses are negative. YES if the most negative profit closes at -$370,000 or worse.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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