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Will any Duel player lose $410,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jul 10 UTC)?

Betting closedDuel transparency API
Created 10 Jul 2026

Final result

NO

Finished 12 Jul 2026, 00:45 UTC

Verify result

Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-11T00:16:08.061Z]

Open evidence ↗Archived evidence ↗

SHA-256: 716b6e5ae9dc2c29617bc88f394acbf1933e9fecec5e961bcf8081bdf2b1af32

Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
10 Jul 2026, 01:21 UTC
Betting closes
10 Jul 2026, 23:55 UTC

YES if the published Duel results show a bet with a loss of $410,000 or more between 10 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC and 10 Jul 2026, 23:55 UTC (end excluded). NO if the source check finds no qualifying bet.

An automatic result has a 24-hour review window before payout. An unavailable source leaves the result pending.

Background

Worst single-bet loss on duel.com for the week ending Jul 10 UTC, from their public transparency feed. Profit is signed (losses negative). YES if the most negative in-window profit is -$410,000 or worse.

Source & checks
Source
Duel transparency API ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
Automatic check, then 24h review. Payouts wait for finalization.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 15 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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Adults only (18+). Play money. Not gambling. $INARI only.

Markets▍My bets+ArcadeResults

YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑49%20@49%
  • arspopo👑44%15@50%
  • eddy_scout👑49%11@51%
  • stakeloser👑51%6@52%

NO holders3

  • arspopo👑44%24@50%
  • eddy_scout👑49%12@51%
  • trainwreck👑49%10@53%
arspopo bought YES$I 7.3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.2
arspopo bought NO$I 2.5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.4
arspopo bought NO$I 6.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 3
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.5
arspopo bought NO$I 2.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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