inari.fm

▸ tuning…

INARI
MarketsInariResolvePortfolioLeaderboard+ New
INARI
📊 Will any Duel player lose $410,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jul 14 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

12 days ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-15T00:16:08.212Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 2759465b78e5…fd30a0

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel player lose $410,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jul 14 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 55% confidence

VOL $I 64.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7, filters by txn_date in [2026-07-14T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-14T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window profit <= -410000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"profit","sort_direction":"asc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"profit","threshold":-410000,"windowStart":"2026-07-14T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-14T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Worst single-bet loss on duel.com for the week ending Jul 14 UTC, from their public transparency feed. Profit is signed (losses negative). YES if the most negative in-window profit is -$410,000 or worse.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
55%40$I 20.3
52%28$I 13.7
50%20$I 9.6
48%12$I 5.7
46%4$I 1.9
MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES
44%4$I 2.2
42%12$I 6.8
40%20$I 11.6
38%29$I 16.7
35%42$I 24.8

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

INARI
@inarimarketsTelegramDocshello@inari.markets

Categories

OperatorsCasino WarsIndustryGamesFast MarketsResolved

Platform

MarketsCreatePortfolioLeaderboardSourcesDocs ↗About

Legal

RulesFAQTermsPrivacyReversed resolutions
18+Adults onlyPLAYPlay money · Not gambling$I$INARI only
Responsible Play ▸
HomeMarkets▍+InariResolve

YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%31@53%
  • eddy_scout👑49%19@52%
  • stakeloser👑49%5@55%

NO holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%34@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%22@46%
  • arspopo👑50%17@49%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.3
arspopo bought NO$I 6.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.7
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.7
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.9
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.7
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

Related markets

See all →

Big wins

Will there be more than 10,000 participants in the promo by 2026-08-31?

Yes49%
No51%

$I 6.2K vol

Big wins

Will the next top prize in BCGAME's World Cup promotions exceed $456,270.98 by 2026-07-31?

Yes37%
No63%

$I 53.1 vol

Big wins

Will more than 200,000 $MNTD tokens be airdropped to players by 2026-09-15?

Yes51%
No49%

$I 26.6 vol

Big wins

Will RawDogg209's next stream before July 31, 2026, feature a winnings payout over $5,000?

Yes60%
No40%

$I 22.6 vol

Big wins

Will another trader make over $100k profit in a Polymarket market by August 7, 2026?

Yes58%
No42%

$I 21.7 vol

Big wins

Will any Gates of Olympus 1000 bet on Duel pay out $300,000+ this week (by Jul 28 UTC)?

Yes57%
No43%

$I 14.6 vol