inari.fm

▸ tuning…

INARI
MarketsInariResolvePortfolioLeaderboard+ New
INARI
📊 Will any Duel player lose $480,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jun 29 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-30T00:15:59.145Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 3b3f7f07ea67…28a1d9

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Duel player lose $480,000+ on a single bet this week (by Jun 29 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 44% confidence

VOL $I 97·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7, filters by txn_date in [2026-06-29T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-29T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window profit <= -480000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"profit","sort_direction":"asc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"profit","threshold":-480000,"windowStart":"2026-06-29T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-29T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Worst single-bet loss on duel.com for the week ending Jun 29 UTC, from their public transparency feed. Profit is signed (losses negative). YES if the most negative in-window profit is -$480,000 or worse.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
66%42$I 25.9
63%29$I 17.4
61%21$I 12.1
59%12$I 7.1
57%4$I 2.3
MID56%SPREAD 2ppYES
55%4$I 1.8
53%12$I 5.5
51%20$I 9.3
49%28$I 13.3
46%40$I 19.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

INARI
@inarimarketsTelegramDocshello@inari.markets

Categories

OperatorsCasino WarsIndustryGamesFast MarketsResolved

Platform

MarketsCreatePortfolioLeaderboardSourcesDocs ↗About

Legal

RulesFAQTermsPrivacyReversed resolutions
18+Adults onlyPLAYPlay money · Not gambling$I$INARI only
Responsible Play ▸
HomeMarkets▍+InariResolve

YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑50%96@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%12@55%

NO holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%33@48%
  • arspopo👑49%29@49%
  • stakeloser👑50%15@47%
  • eddy_scout👑50%8@50%
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.8
arspopo bought NO$I 3.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.1
arspopo bought NO$I 4.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3
trainwreck bought NO$I 2.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

Related markets

See all →

Big wins

Will more than 200,000 $MNTD tokens be airdropped to players by 2026-09-15?

Yes31%
No69%

$I 1.2K vol

Big wins

Will any Dice bet on Duel hit 5,000x this week?

Yes36%
No64%

$I 50.8 vol

Big wins

Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 13,000x this week?

Yes46%
No54%

$I 48.7 vol

Big wins

Will any Gates of Olympus 1000 bet on Duel pay out $300,000+ this week (by Sep 11 UTC)?

Yes57%
No43%

$I 45.1 vol

Big wins

Will any Duel bet hit 53,000x this week?

Yes63%
No37%

$I 38.7 vol

Big wins

Will any Duel player lose $930,000+ on a single bet this week (by Sep 11 UTC)?

Yes48%
No52%

$I 36 vol