Resolved
✗ NO
2 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: top Blackjack bet by jyluo (txn 659222002 at 2026-05-24) — value -100046.211374 vs threshold ≤ -490000 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-05-26T00:15:45.711Z]
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7&per_page=10
Will any Duel player lose $490,000+ on a single bet this week (by May 25 UTC)?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 42% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=profit&sort_direction=asc&days=7, filters by txn_date in [2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-25T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window profit <= -490000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"profit","sort_direction":"asc","days":7,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"profit","threshold":-490000,"windowStart":"2026-05-21T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-25T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Worst single-bet loss on duel.com for the week ending May 25 UTC, from their public transparency feed. Profit is signed (losses negative). YES if the most negative in-window profit is -$490,000 or worse.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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