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📊 Will any Gates of Olympus 1000 bet on Duel pay out $300,000+ this week (by Jul 18 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-19T00:15:23.179Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 824a4b859bf6…4f2cba

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Gates of Olympus 1000 bet on Duel pay out $300,000+ this week (by Jul 18 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 55% confidence

VOL $I 50.3·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Gates of Olympus 1000" and txn_date in [2026-07-18T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-18T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 300000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":300000,"game":"Gates of Olympus 1000","windowStart":"2026-07-18T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-18T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Gates of Olympus 1000 for the window ending Jul 18 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Gates of Olympus 1000" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $300,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
55%40$I 20
52%28$I 13.6
50%20$I 9.5
48%12$I 5.6
46%4$I 1.8
MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES
44%4$I 2.3
42%12$I 6.9
40%20$I 11.8
38%29$I 16.9
35%42$I 25.2

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • arspopo👑49%19@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%14@51%
  • trainwreck👑52%7@44%

NO holders3

  • trainwreck👑52%31@50%
  • arspopo👑49%18@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%11@56%
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 6.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 6.6
arspopo bought NO$I 5.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.6
arspopo bought YES$I 5.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 7.1
arspopo bought YES$I 3
arspopo bought YES$I 0.7
arspopo bought NO$I 4.2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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