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📊 Will any Mines bet hit 13,000x or higher on May 16 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

4 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-17T00:15:54.963Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 74b105ebfae3…a68aa6

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Mines bet hit 13,000x or higher on May 16 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 65.6·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=1, filters by game="Mines" and txn_date in [2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope multiplier >= 13000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":13000,"game":"Mines","windowStart":"2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Mines multiplier on duel.com during May 16 UTC, sourced from their public transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-24h top by multiplier, filters by game="Mines" (case-insensitive) and by txn_date in the pinned market window, then checks whether the highest in-scope multiplier crosses 13,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
64%42$I 24.6
61%29$I 16.6
59%20$I 11.6
57%12$I 6.8
55%4$I 2.2
MID54%SPREAD 2ppYES
53%4$I 1.9
51%12$I 5.7
49%20$I 9.7
47%28$I 13.8
44%40$I 20.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑52%32@48%
  • Market Maker20@50%
  • eddy_scout👑50%19@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%2@50%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑50%29@53%
  • eddy_scout👑50%26@51%
  • arspopo👑49%2@49%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 7.2
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.6
arspopo bought NO$I 0.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.1
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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