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📊 Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 12,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

11 days ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-16T00:15:18.578Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 9adc005ef551…122e23

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 12,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 58.8·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Mines" and txn_date in [2026-07-15T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-15T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 12000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":12000,"game":"Mines","windowStart":"2026-07-15T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-15T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Mines multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jul 15 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 12,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
64%41$I 24.5
61%29$I 16.5
59%20$I 11.5
57%12$I 6.7
55%4$I 2.2
MID54%SPREAD 2ppYES
53%4$I 1.9
51%12$I 5.7
49%20$I 9.7
47%28$I 13.9
44%40$I 20.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • arspopo👑50%38@51%
  • eddy_scout👑49%17@52%
  • stakeloser👑49%9@47%
  • trainwreck👑50%3@46%

NO holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%25@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%25@49%
arspopo bought YES$I 6
arspopo bought YES$I 4.1
arspopo bought YES$I 1.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.2
trainwreck bought YES$I 1.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.1
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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