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📊 Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 12,000x this week?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

8 days ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-20T00:15:20.673Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 01778d0d0dbf…2ec776

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Mines bet on Duel hit 12,000x this week?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 55% confidence

VOL $I 44.3·TRADES9·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=multiplier&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Mines" and txn_date in [2026-07-19T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-19T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top >= 12000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"multiplier","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"multiplier","threshold":12000,"game":"Mines","windowStart":"2026-07-19T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-19T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top Mines multiplier on duel.com over the 7-day window ending Jul 19 UTC. Resolver pulls days=7 data, applies game filter if set, and checks whether the highest in-window multiplier crosses 12,000x.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
55%40$I 20.2
52%28$I 13.7
50%20$I 9.6
48%12$I 5.6
46%4$I 1.8
MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES
44%4$I 2.2
42%12$I 6.9
40%20$I 11.7
38%29$I 16.8
35%42$I 24.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%22@43%
  • arspopo👑50%10@42%
  • stakeloser👑49%2@45%

NO holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%39@57%
  • trainwreck👑50%14@52%
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.7
arspopo bought YES$I 4.3
stakeloser bought NO$I 7.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 5.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 6.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 6.3
trainwreck bought NO$I 7.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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