Resolved
✗ NO
4 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-17T00:15:57.538Z]
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more on May 16 UTC?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 59% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1, filters by txn_date in [2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window payout >= 380000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":380000,"windowStart":"2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-16T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Top single-bet payout on duel.com during May 16 UTC, pulled from their public transparency API. Resolver filters by txn_date in the pinned market window and compares the top payout against $380,000.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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