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📊 Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more on May 20 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 64981e001760…95344a

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more on May 20 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 55% confidence

VOL $I 46.5·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1, filters by txn_date in [2026-05-20T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-20T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-window payout >= 380000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":380000,"windowStart":"2026-05-20T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-20T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com during May 20 UTC, pulled from their public transparency API. Resolver filters by txn_date in the pinned market window and compares the top payout against $380,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
55%40$I 20.2
52%28$I 13.7
50%20$I 9.6
48%12$I 5.7
46%4$I 1.8
MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES
44%4$I 2.2
42%12$I 6.8
40%20$I 11.7
38%29$I 16.7
35%42$I 24.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • eddy_scout👑49%16@52%
  • topocman👑49%15@51%
  • arspopo👑50%6@46%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑49%23@53%
  • arspopo👑50%23@49%
  • trainwreck👑50%9@49%
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.1
arspopo bought YES$I 1.6
arspopo bought YES$I 1.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 6.5
arspopo bought NO$I 7.4
arspopo bought NO$I 3.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3.8
trainwreck bought NO$I 4.6
topocman bought YES$I 7.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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