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By INARI

Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more today?

Betting closedDuel transparency API
Created 12 May 2026

Final result

NO

Finished 12 May 2026, 19:52 UTC

Verify result

CORRECTED 2026-05-13: original resolver used Duel days=1 which is the previous full UTC day. The market closed on 2026-05-12, but the original evidence cited a txn from 2026-05-11 (Gold Party 1.78M). Actual top single-bet payout ON 2026-05-12 was Plinko $198,304.68 (txn_date confirmed), which is below the $380,000 threshold. Outcome flipped YES -> NO.

Open evidence ↗

▸ RESOLUTION OVERRIDDEN

A Steward changed this market's outcome inside the 7-day window.

YES→NO·G·6 months ago

Reason · Duel oracle pre-fix bug: days=1 returns previous UTC day, not rolling 24h. Evidence cited txn from 2026-05-11 on a market for 2026-05-12. Actual May 12 top payout was Plinko $198,304.68, well below the $380k threshold. Correct outcome is NO.

Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
12 May 2026, 16:43 UTC
Betting closes
12 May 2026, 23:55 UTC

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1 at close. YES if data[0].payout >= 380000, else NO.

An automatic result has a 24-hour review window before payout. An unavailable source leaves the result pending.

Background

Tracks the biggest single-bet payout on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours. Data comes from their public transparency API (no auth, no login). YES if the top payout closes at $380,000 or above.

Source & checks
Source
Duel transparency API ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
Automatic check, then 24h review. Payouts wait for finalization.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 14 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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YES holders0

No YES holders yet.

NO holders1

  • stakeloser👑51%9@51%
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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