Resolved
✗ NO
4 months ago
Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-15T13:15:52.712Z]
https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10
Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more today?
Final outcome
✗ NO
Closed at 55% confidence
▸ Resolution rule
Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1 at close. YES if data[0].payout >= 380000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":380000,"windowStart":"2026-05-13T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-13T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]
▸ Description
Tracks the biggest single-bet payout on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours. Data comes from their public transparency API (no auth, no login). YES if the top payout closes at $380,000 or above.
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real
▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+]
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