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📊 Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more today?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-15T13:15:52.712Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 04df6da56355…e6382a

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=1&per_page=10

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any single Duel bet pay out $380,000 or more today?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 55% confidence

VOL $I 37.4·TRADES8·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1 at close. YES if data[0].payout >= 380000, else NO. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":1,"per_page":10},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":380000,"windowStart":"2026-05-13T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-13T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Tracks the biggest single-bet payout on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours. Data comes from their public transparency API (no auth, no login). YES if the top payout closes at $380,000 or above.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
55%40$I 20.2
52%28$I 13.7
50%20$I 9.6
48%12$I 5.6
46%4$I 1.8
MID45%SPREAD 2ppYES
44%4$I 2.2
42%12$I 6.9
40%20$I 11.7
38%29$I 16.8
35%42$I 25

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%19@53%
  • arspopo👑50%8@49%

NO holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%31@52%
  • arspopo👑50%16@47%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.7
eddy_scout bought NO$I 3.4
arspopo bought YES$I 1.7
arspopo bought YES$I 2.2
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.7
arspopo bought NO$I 7.4
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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