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Will any single Duel bet pay out $590,000 or more today?

Betting closedDuel transparency API
Created 12 May 2026

Final result

NO

Finished 12 May 2026, 19:53 UTC

Verify result

CORRECTED 2026-05-13: same Duel days=1 windowing bug as the $380k market. Actual top single-bet payout on 2026-05-12 was Plinko $198,304.68, below the $590,000 threshold. Outcome flipped YES -> NO.

Open evidence ↗

▸ RESOLUTION OVERRIDDEN

A Steward changed this market's outcome inside the 7-day window.

YES→NO·G·6 months ago

Reason · Duel oracle pre-fix bug: same as $380k correction. May 12 top payout $198,304 < $590k threshold. Correct outcome NO.

Odds history
All time
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
How this bet is decided
Created
12 May 2026, 16:43 UTC
Betting closes
12 May 2026, 23:55 UTC

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=1 at close. YES if data[0].payout >= 590000, else NO.

An automatic result has a 24-hour review window before payout. An unavailable source leaves the result pending.

Background

Tracks the biggest single-bet payout on duel.com over the trailing 24 hours. Data comes from their public transparency API (no auth, no login). YES if the top payout closes at $590,000 or above.

Source & checks
Source
Duel transparency API ↗
Created by
Inari
Result check
Automatic check, then 24h review. Payouts wait for finalization.
Trades & evidence
Wallet activity2.27M USDC

Fox spotted a whale inflow

2.27M USDC hit the tracked Stake wallet. Counterparty: 0xbc5e…1582.

Collected 14 hours ago

View transaction ↗
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YES holders0

No YES holders yet.

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑44%21@53%
arspopo bought NO$I 6.9
arspopo bought NO$I 3.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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