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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $160,000+ this week (by Jul 15 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

11 days ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-07-16T00:15:25.092Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · deba131206e5…64502d

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $160,000+ this week (by Jul 15 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 59% confidence

VOL $I 69·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-07-15T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-07-15T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 160000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":160000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-07-15T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-07-15T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending Jul 15 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $160,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
51%40$I 18.6
48%28$I 12.7
46%20$I 8.9
44%12$I 5.2
42%4$I 1.7
MID41%SPREAD 2ppYES
40%4$I 2.5
38%13$I 7.6
36%21$I 13
34%30$I 18.7
31%44$I 27.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • topocman👑49%37@36%
  • stakeloser👑49%13@40%

NO holders1

  • topocman👑49%85@60%
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.9
topocman bought NO$I 0.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.2
topocman bought YES$I 6.8
topocman bought NO$I 3.6
topocman bought NO$I 4.7
topocman bought NO$I 0.9
topocman bought YES$I 6.3
topocman bought NO$I 5.2
topocman bought NO$I 6.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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