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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $200,000+ this week (by Jun 16 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

1 month ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-17T00:15:33.498Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 2d6487fefdea…748018

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $200,000+ this week (by Jun 16 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 58% confidence

VOL $I 99.4·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-16T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 200000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":200000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-06-16T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-16T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending Jun 16 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $200,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
52%40$I 18.9
49%28$I 12.9
47%20$I 9
45%12$I 5.3
43%4$I 1.7
MID42%SPREAD 2ppYES
41%4$I 2.4
39%12$I 7.4
37%21$I 12.7
35%30$I 18.2
32%43$I 27.2

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders4

  • trainwreck👑50%37@49%
  • arspopo👑50%26@46%
  • eddy_scout👑49%17@49%
  • stakeloser👑49%3@47%

NO holders4

  • stakeloser👑49%47@52%
  • eddy_scout👑49%41@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%15@56%
  • arspopo👑50%11@55%
arspopo bought YES$I 0.7
stakeloser bought NO$I 6.3
arspopo bought NO$I 5.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 7.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3
arspopo bought YES$I 7
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 5.1
trainwreck bought YES$I 4
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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