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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $200,000+ this week (by May 26 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

4 months ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-05-27T00:15:32.953Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · c064a5644b81…c22bcb

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $200,000+ this week (by May 26 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 45% confidence

VOL $I 21.8·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-05-26T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 200000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":200000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-05-26T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending May 26 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $200,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%42$I 25.1
62%29$I 16.9
60%20$I 11.8
58%12$I 6.9
56%4$I 2.2
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%4$I 1.8
52%12$I 5.6
50%20$I 9.5
48%28$I 13.6
45%40$I 20.1

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑50%22@52%
  • stakeloser👑50%9@51%

NO holders1

  • eddy_scout👑50%11@49%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5
eddy_scout bought YES$I 6.5
eddy_scout bought NO$I 5.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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