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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $210,000+ this week (by Jun 18 UTC)?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

1 month ago

Resolver note · Duel oracle: no qualifying bet in window. Outcome NO. Source https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50 [finalized from provisional 2026-06-19T00:15:33.629Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · d2007e6c59d3…b52265

https://duel.com/api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&sort_direction=desc&days=7&per_page=50

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $210,000+ this week (by Jun 18 UTC)?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 95·TRADES10·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-06-18T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 210000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":210000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-06-18T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-06-18T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending Jun 18 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $210,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
64%42$I 24.7
61%29$I 16.6
59%20$I 11.6
57%12$I 6.8
55%4$I 2.2
MID54%SPREAD 2ppYES
53%4$I 1.9
51%12$I 5.7
49%20$I 9.7
47%28$I 13.8
44%40$I 20.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders5

  • topocman👑49%64@53%
  • trainwreck👑50%16@47%
  • stakeloser👑49%14@49%
  • arspopo👑50%8@49%
  • eddy_scout👑49%2@51%

NO holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%39@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%24@46%
  • stakeloser👑49%11@50%
  • arspopo👑50%11@50%
stakeloser bought NO$I 0.7
topocman bought YES$I 7.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.3
topocman bought YES$I 2.4
stakeloser bought YES$I 4.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 3
eddy_scout bought NO$I 6.6
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.6
topocman bought YES$I 1.4
topocman bought YES$I 2.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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