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📊 Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $400,000+ this week (by Aug 1 UTC)?ENDED
▸ MARKET · AWAITING RESOLUTION
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Will any Wanted Dead or a Wild bet on Duel pay out $400,000+ this week (by Aug 1 UTC)?

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↓-9pp
VOL $I 22.9·TRADES6·…·⏳ resolution incoming·
▸ Resolution rule

Resolver hits /api/v2/transparency/bets?sort_column=payout&days=7&per_page=50, filters by game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" and txn_date in [2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z, 2026-08-01T23:55:00.000Z). YES if top in-scope payout >= 400000, else NO at close. [oracle-config:{"kind":"bets_top","query":{"sort_column":"payout","sort_direction":"desc","days":7,"per_page":50},"comparison":"gte","metric":"payout","threshold":400000,"game":"Wanted Dead or a Wild","windowStart":"2026-08-01T00:00:00.000Z","windowEnd":"2026-08-01T23:55:00.000Z","version":"duel-v1"}]

·
▸ Description

Top single-bet payout on duel.com in Wanted Dead or a Wild for the window ending Aug 1 UTC. Sourced from the public Duel transparency API. Resolver pulls the rolling-168h top by payout, filters to game="Wanted Dead or a Wild" (case-insensitive) and txn_date in the pinned market window, then compares the highest result against $400,000.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
51%40$I 18.6
48%28$I 12.6
46%20$I 8.9
44%12$I 5.2
42%4$I 1.7
MID41%SPREAD 2ppYES
40%4$I 2.5
38%13$I 7.6
36%21$I 13
34%30$I 18.7
31%44$I 28

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • stakeloser👑50%3@47%

NO holders1

  • topocman👑45%39@55%
topocman bought NO$I 6
topocman bought NO$I 3.9
topocman bought NO$I 3.5
topocman bought NO$I 0.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.4
topocman bought NO$I 7.5

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