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📊 Will BTC be at or above $59,000 by 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

26 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $59,980.52 (Hermes publish_time 1782938700) vs threshold ≥ $59,000 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-01T20:45:02.434Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 0bfbc098b09d…2bb36f

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $59,000 by 2026-07-01 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 46% confidence

VOL $I 22.4·TRADES8·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $59,000 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":59000,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $58,896.42. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $59,000 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.6
53%28$I 13.9
51%20$I 9.8
49%12$I 5.7
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.7
41%20$I 11.4
39%29$I 16.4
36%41$I 24.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%8@50%
  • arspopo👑50%7@48%

NO holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%17@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%7@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%5@53%
  • arspopo👑50%1@50%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.8
eddy_scout bought NO$I 0.8
arspopo bought NO$I 0.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.9
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2
arspopo bought YES$I 3.2
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.4
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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