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📊 Will BTC be at or above $59,500 by 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

27 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $58,568.64 (Hermes publish_time 1782852297) vs threshold ≥ $59,500 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-06-30T20:45:02.543Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 8243c4d14f81…cc8c74

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $59,500 by 2026-06-30 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 34.7·TRADES9·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $59,500 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":59500,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $59,297.25. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $59,500 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
56%40$I 20.6
53%28$I 14
51%20$I 9.8
49%12$I 5.8
47%4$I 1.9
MID46%SPREAD 2ppYES
45%4$I 2.2
43%12$I 6.7
41%20$I 11.4
39%29$I 16.4
36%41$I 24.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%15@52%
  • arspopo👑50%6@49%
  • eddy_scout👑49%6@50%

NO holders4

  • eddy_scout👑49%18@52%
  • topocman👑49%10@51%
  • arspopo👑50%7@49%
  • stakeloser👑49%6@47%
eddy_scout bought NO$I 7.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 1.4
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.8
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.2
arspopo bought YES$I 3.1
topocman bought NO$I 5.3
arspopo bought NO$I 3.4
stakeloser bought NO$I 2.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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