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📊 Will BTC be at or above $61,500 by 2026-06-25 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

1 month ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $59,423.12 (Hermes publish_time 1782420298) vs threshold ≥ $61,500 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-06-25T20:45:02.770Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · ce76a1555377…9b1291

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $61,500 by 2026-06-25 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 52% confidence

VOL $I 24.6·TRADES7·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $61,500 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":61500,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $61,632.51. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $61,500 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
58%40$I 21.4
55%28$I 14.5
53%20$I 10.1
51%12$I 6
49%4$I 1.9
MID48%SPREAD 2ppYES
47%4$I 2.1
45%12$I 6.4
43%20$I 11
41%28$I 15.7
38%41$I 23.3

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • arspopo👑50%14@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%7@48%

NO holders3

  • trainwreck👑50%11@52%
  • arspopo👑50%10@50%
  • stakeloser👑49%7@50%
arspopo bought NO$I 2.1
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.7
arspopo bought NO$I 3.1
arspopo bought YES$I 2.9
arspopo bought YES$I 4.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 3.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.4

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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