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📊 Will BTC be at or above $62,500 by 2026-07-14 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

13 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $64,441.55 (Hermes publish_time 1784061923) vs threshold ≥ $62,500 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-14T20:45:28.420Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 39b630e7f76a…eee26c

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $62,500 by 2026-07-14 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 50% confidence

VOL $I 23.3·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $62,500 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":62500,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $62,663.03. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $62,500 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%40$I 22.1
57%28$I 14.9
55%20$I 10.4
53%12$I 6.1
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.2
45%20$I 10.6
43%28$I 15.2
40%41$I 22.5

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • arspopo👑50%23@52%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑49%10@47%
  • trainwreck👑50%8@50%
  • arspopo👑50%6@51%
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.8
stakeloser bought NO$I 4.9
arspopo bought YES$I 5.4
arspopo bought YES$I 6.2
arspopo bought NO$I 1.1
arspopo bought NO$I 2.1

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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