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📊 Will BTC be at or above $63,000 by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

2 months ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $62,690.21 (Hermes publish_time 1783284319) vs threshold ≥ $63,000 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-05T20:45:24.602Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 2e8356a10809…2b62d1

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $63,000 by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 51% confidence

VOL $I 21·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $63,000 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":63000,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $62,839.43. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $63,000 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
59%40$I 22
56%28$I 14.9
54%20$I 10.4
52%12$I 6.1
50%4$I 2
MID49%SPREAD 2ppYES
48%4$I 2
46%12$I 6.3
44%20$I 10.7
42%28$I 15.3
39%41$I 22.7

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • arspopo👑49%16@50%
  • stakeloser👑50%3@51%

NO holders3

  • arspopo👑49%11@51%
  • stakeloser👑50%8@49%
  • topocman👑46%4@51%
topocman bought NO$I 1.9
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.7
arspopo bought YES$I 5.1
arspopo bought YES$I 3
arspopo bought NO$I 5.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 1.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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