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📊 Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-10 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

17 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $63,825.09 (Hermes publish_time 1783716326) vs threshold ≥ $64,000 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-10T20:45:28.574Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · e300865889a6…4c7323

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-10 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 49% confidence

VOL $I 17.7·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $64,000 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":64000,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $64,199.68. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $64,000 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
61%41$I 23
58%28$I 15.5
56%20$I 10.9
54%12$I 6.4
52%4$I 2.1
MID51%SPREAD 2ppYES
50%4$I 2
48%12$I 6
46%20$I 10.2
44%28$I 14.6
41%40$I 21.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • stakeloser👑49%12@50%
  • arspopo👑50%8@48%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%15@52%
stakeloser bought YES$I 6
arspopo bought YES$I 4
arspopo bought NO$I 2.4
arspopo bought NO$I 5.3

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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