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📊 Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

15 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $64,177.1 (Hermes publish_time 1783889123) vs threshold ≥ $64,000 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-12T20:45:28.468Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 00e8ea4a0c68…8117c8

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 54% confidence

VOL $I 17.2·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $64,000 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":64000,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $63,928.73. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $64,000 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
64%41$I 24.3
61%29$I 16.3
59%20$I 11.4
57%12$I 6.7
55%4$I 2.2
MID54%SPREAD 2ppYES
53%4$I 1.9
51%12$I 5.8
49%20$I 9.8
47%28$I 14
44%40$I 20.7

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • arspopo👑50%24@51%

NO holders3

  • stakeloser👑49%7@51%
  • trainwreck👑50%1@47%
  • arspopo👑50%1@53%
trainwreck bought NO$I 0.6
arspopo bought YES$I 6.3
arspopo bought YES$I 5.9
arspopo bought NO$I 0.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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