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📊 Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

11 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $64,104.05 (Hermes publish_time 1784234736) vs threshold ≥ $64,000 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-16T20:45:39.446Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 65139196c5ce…925150

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $64,000 by 2026-07-16 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 50% confidence

VOL $I 23.2·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $64,000 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":64000,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $64,096.4. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $64,000 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
60%41$I 22.3
57%28$I 15.1
55%20$I 10.5
53%12$I 6.2
51%4$I 2
MID50%SPREAD 2ppYES
49%4$I 2
47%12$I 6.2
45%20$I 10.6
43%28$I 15.1
40%41$I 22.4

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%17@47%
  • eddy_scout👑49%6@49%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%20@53%
  • trainwreck👑50%3@56%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.8
trainwreck bought YES$I 3.9
trainwreck bought YES$I 4.1
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.9
arspopo bought NO$I 4.9
arspopo bought NO$I 5.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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