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📊 Will BTC be at or above $64,500 by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

12 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $64,959.03 (Hermes publish_time 1784148332) vs threshold ≥ $64,500 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-15T20:45:37.587Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 8f453498fbef…37cb6e

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $64,500 by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 53% confidence

VOL $I 25.2·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $64,500 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":64500,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $64,742.47. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $64,500 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
63%41$I 23.8
60%29$I 16.1
58%20$I 11.2
56%12$I 6.6
54%4$I 2.1
MID53%SPREAD 2ppYES
52%4$I 1.9
50%12$I 5.8
48%20$I 9.9
46%28$I 14.2
43%40$I 21

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%18@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%13@52%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%14@49%
  • eddy_scout👑49%5@50%
eddy_scout bought YES$I 4.3
eddy_scout bought YES$I 1.9
eddy_scout bought NO$I 2.7
eddy_scout bought YES$I 3.1
arspopo bought NO$I 6.8
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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