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📊 Will BTC be at or above $64,500 by 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

8 days ago

Resolver note · Pyth oracle: BTC = $64,455.54 (Hermes publish_time 1784493935) vs threshold ≥ $64,500 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-19T20:45:39.455Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 7761b5630a6a…7e0559

https://hermes.pyth.network/v2/updates/price/latest?ids[]=e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will BTC be at or above $64,500 by 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 45% confidence

VOL $I 23.4·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the Pyth Hermes price for BTC/USD is at least $64,500 at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"pyth-v1","kind":"price_threshold","feedId":"e62df6c8b4a85fe1a67db44dc12de5db330f7ac66b72dc658afedf0f4a415b43","asset":"BTC","threshold":64500,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from the Pyth Network price oracle. BTC is currently $64,653.72. Resolves YES if the Pyth price is at least $64,500 at close.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
65%42$I 25
62%29$I 16.8
60%20$I 11.7
58%12$I 6.9
56%4$I 2.2
MID55%SPREAD 2ppYES
54%4$I 1.8
52%12$I 5.6
50%20$I 9.6
48%28$I 13.7
45%40$I 20.2

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders3

  • topocman👑49%18@50%
  • arspopo👑50%12@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%2@53%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%13@52%
topocman bought YES$I 3.5
stakeloser bought YES$I 1
arspopo bought YES$I 6.2
topocman bought YES$I 4.9
topocman bought YES$I 0.8
arspopo bought NO$I 6.9

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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