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📊 Will Captain Death have at least 240 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✓ YES

15 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Captain Death had 396 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 240 → YES. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-12T20:40:19.096Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 34da60a57a11…cd544e

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · YES
</>Embed

Will Captain Death have at least 240 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✓ YES

Closed at 49% confidence

VOL $I 15.3·TRADES4·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Captain Death is at least 240 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"valkyrie-captain-death","game":"Captain Death","threshold":240,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Captain Death currently has 235 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 240 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
59%40$I 21.7
56%28$I 14.7
54%20$I 10.3
52%12$I 6
50%4$I 2
MID49%SPREAD 2ppYES
48%4$I 2.1
46%12$I 6.4
44%20$I 10.8
42%28$I 15.5
39%41$I 23

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders1

  • stakeloser👑49%13@52%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%15@50%
  • stakeloser👑49%3@48%
arspopo bought NO$I 5.6
stakeloser bought NO$I 1.6
arspopo bought NO$I 1.6
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.5

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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