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📊 Will Captain Death have at least 340 players live on Stake at 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

10 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Captain Death had 177 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 340 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-17T08:40:12.949Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · a873d38e1920…71da1a

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Captain Death have at least 340 players live on Stake at 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 51% confidence

VOL $I 28·TRADES6·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Captain Death is at least 340 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"valkyrie-captain-death","game":"Captain Death","threshold":340,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Captain Death has 339 live Stake players now. This market resolves from the public Stake player-count feed at 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
59%40$I 21.7
56%28$I 14.7
54%20$I 10.3
52%12$I 6
50%4$I 2
MID49%SPREAD 2ppYES
48%4$I 2.1
46%12$I 6.3
44%20$I 10.8
42%28$I 15.5
39%41$I 23

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders2

  • eddy_scout👑49%15@52%
  • stakeloser👑49%10@49%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%15@50%
  • trainwreck👑50%15@50%
arspopo bought NO$I 7.6
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.9
eddy_scout bought YES$I 5.6
eddy_scout bought YES$I 2.3
stakeloser bought YES$I 5
trainwreck bought NO$I 5.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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