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📊 Will Captain Death have at least 960 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

12 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Captain Death had 430 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 960 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-15T20:40:45.141Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · f8d35d8dd92d…783e19

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Captain Death have at least 960 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 44% confidence

VOL $I 20.7·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Captain Death is at least 960 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"valkyrie-captain-death","game":"Captain Death","threshold":960,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Captain Death currently has 956 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 960 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
66%42$I 25.9
63%29$I 17.4
61%21$I 12.1
59%12$I 7.1
57%4$I 2.3
MID56%SPREAD 2ppYES
55%4$I 1.8
53%12$I 5.5
51%20$I 9.3
49%28$I 13.3
46%40$I 19.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

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YES holders2

  • arspopo👑50%20@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%12@55%

NO holders2

  • arspopo👑50%4@52%
  • trainwreck👑50%3@51%
stakeloser bought YES$I 6.7
arspopo bought YES$I 3.1
arspopo bought YES$I 7
arspopo bought NO$I 2.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 1.7

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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