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📊 Will Chill Bill have at least 300 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

23 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Chill Bill had 297 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 300 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-04T20:40:32.463Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · 35d61597bf30…fee26d

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Chill Bill have at least 300 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 52% confidence

VOL $I 21.2·TRADES5·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Chill Bill is at least 300 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"twist-gaming-chill-bill","game":"Chill Bill","threshold":300,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Chill Bill currently has 297 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 300 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
58%40$I 21.1
55%28$I 14.3
53%20$I 10
51%12$I 5.9
49%4$I 1.9
MID48%SPREAD 2ppYES
47%4$I 2.1
45%12$I 6.5
43%20$I 11.1
41%28$I 15.9
38%41$I 23.6

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%15@47%
  • stakeloser👑49%1@48%

NO holders3

  • arspopo👑50%12@54%
  • trainwreck👑50%7@51%
  • stakeloser👑49%7@52%
stakeloser bought YES$I 0.5
stakeloser bought NO$I 3.6
trainwreck bought YES$I 7.1
arspopo bought NO$I 6.2
trainwreck bought NO$I 3.8

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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