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📊 Will Chill Bill have at least 300 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?ENDED

Resolved

✗ NO

22 days ago

Resolver note · Stake player-count oracle: Chill Bill had 297 concurrent players vs threshold ≥ 300 → NO. [finalized from provisional 2026-07-05T20:40:32.554Z]

🔗 Live source ↗🗄 Archive snapshot ↗SHA-256 · baaf117b2ffb…a248cd

https://stakeplayercount.com/api/games?sortBy=players&order=desc&period=today&limit=500

▸ MARKET · RESOLVED · NO
</>Embed

Will Chill Bill have at least 300 concurrent players on Stake by 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC?

VERIFY—tap a check

Final outcome

✗ NO

Closed at 51% confidence

VOL $I 12.5·TRADES3·
▸ Resolution rule

YES if the live stakeplayercount.com reading for Chill Bill is at least 300 concurrent players at close, otherwise NO. [oracle-config:{"version":"stakecount-v1","kind":"players_threshold","slug":"twist-gaming-chill-bill","game":"Chill Bill","threshold":300,"comparison":"gte"}]

·
▸ Description

Auto-created from stakeplayercount.com live data. Chill Bill currently has 297 concurrent players on Stake. Resolves YES if it has 300 or more at close, read from the public games API.

▸ PROBABILITY RACE · ALL TIME
20%50%80%FINISH LINE
▸ ORDER BOOK · AMM DEPTH[+][−]
PRICESHARES$I COST
59%40$I 21.8
56%28$I 14.7
54%20$I 10.3
52%12$I 6.1
50%4$I 2
MID49%SPREAD 2ppYES
48%4$I 2.1
46%12$I 6.3
44%20$I 10.8
42%28$I 15.4
39%41$I 22.9

synthesised from LMSR curve · price impact = real

▸ MORE DETAILS · holders · trades · evidence[+][−]

▸ RELATED MARKETS

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YES holders2

  • trainwreck👑50%6@47%
  • stakeloser👑49%5@49%

NO holders1

  • arspopo👑50%15@52%
stakeloser bought YES$I 2.3
trainwreck bought YES$I 2.7
arspopo bought NO$I 7.6

Market resolved — evidence window closed.

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